Orrery Pulse

Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?

34% current
7D range
21-49%
Net move
-15.0pp
24h volume
$403
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1450% decision lineJul 14

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.