Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?

51% current
7D range
42-64%
Net move
+1.5pp
24h volume
$3k
7 day implied probability chart
Aug 150% decision lineAug 2

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.