Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

21% current
7D range
21-22%
Net move
+0.5pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.