Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?

18% current
7D range
3-29%
Net move
+14.8pp
24h volume
$9
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1750% decision lineJul 24

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.