Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?

34% current
7D range
33-45%
Net move
-10.5pp
24h volume
$297
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.