Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?

16% current
7D range
5-28%
Net move
+4.0pp
24h volume
$0
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1750% decision lineJul 24

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.