Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?

36% current
7D range
36-50%
Net move
-14.0pp
24h volume
$387
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.