Orrery Pulse

Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?

17% current
7D range
14-50%
Net move
-33.5pp
24h volume
$330
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 3150% decision lineAug 1

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.