Orrery Pulse

Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?

18% current
7D range
6-26%
Net move
-4.5pp
24h volume
$47
7 day implied probability chart
Jul 1750% decision lineJul 24

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.

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