Orrery Pulse

Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?

11% current
7D range
7-43%
Net move
-31.5pp
24h volume
$263
7 day implied probability chart
May 1850% decision lineMay 19

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.