Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
mlb.com
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 5, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.