Will the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Probability
73¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3901h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3900.6h
- 15:25SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3901h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 77¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "O 82.5" if the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Milwaukee Brewers to record more than 82.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 82.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlb.com/standings/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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