Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Resolves in 69h.

Probability

3¢

24h volume

$1.2K

Source path

Federal Reserve

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 17, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket