Orrery Resolution Risk

Expired is not resolved.

Expired, unresolved

The expiry has passed, but upstream has not confirmed an official resolution.

Market

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.

Probability

5¢

24h volume

$62.50

Source path

consensus of credible reporting

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Mar 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Check the official source named by the contract.
  • 04Wait for upstream resolution before treating price as final.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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