Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Resolves in 28h.
Probability
32¢
24h volume
$640.68
Source path
to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 16, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.