Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution is contested.

UMA disputed

Do not treat the current price as final while the optimistic-oracle path is disputed.

Market

US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'disputed'.

Probability

16¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

consensus of credible reporting

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01UMA status: disputed
  • 02Expiry: Dec 31, 2025
  • 03Read the market rule and the UMA dispute path before repeating the outcome.
  • 04Compare sibling markets for wording differences.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket