The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 18¢
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $135.65
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on federal court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Court.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.