The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 98¢
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
Business · resolves Apr 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 98¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on annual report — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Annual Report.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.