The market moved

-71.5ppin 24h · now

Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?

Politics · resolves May 17 · vol $12.4K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 71.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-71.5pp · Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority? | Orrery