The market moved
+46.4ppin 24h · now 96¢
T20 2nd Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 29.5
Sports · resolves May 15 · vol $34.25
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 96¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 46.4pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 15.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.