The market moved
-4.6ppin 24h · now 0¢
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Politics · resolves Nov 4 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.6pp shift. Resolution depends on by taking an average of kamala and trump's odds in the 12-hour period between noon (12 pm et) and midnight (12 am et) on — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: by taking an average of Kamala and Trump's odds in the 12-hour period between noon (12 PM ET) and midnight (12 AM ET) on — https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.