The market moved
-13.5ppin 24h · now 60¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Macro · resolves Dec 9 · vol $21.5K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 60¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.