The market moved
+12.0ppin 24h · now 50¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $24.2K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.