The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 13¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $234.32
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 13¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.