The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Weather · resolves May 31 · vol $130.06
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 12¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nhc.noaa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nhc.noaa.gov — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.