Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Probability
18¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-15.5pp
24h Vol
$760.18
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-19.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 856.9h
- 07:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 857h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 07:03PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 18¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 18¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 20¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 21¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 20¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 22¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 21¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 20¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
2Market Description
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).