The market moved
-1.5ppin 24h · now 71¢
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Politics · resolves Aug 1 · vol $14.47
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 71¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.