The market moved

-0.7ppin 24h · now 90¢

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Politics · resolves Aug 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 90¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court — https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.