SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Probability
92¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$1.08
Liquidity
$21.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3060.7h
- 11:19SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3061h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 0¢-0.3pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $4.8M
- 3¢-0.1pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $621.5K
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $446.5K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $432.7K
- 42¢-8.5pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $373.0K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $371.6K
Market Description
The Supreme Court is hearing arguments on the merits of Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/) which directed that children born in the United States would not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if their parents were in the country unlawfully or on certain temporary visas. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” may not be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the order, in whole, is unconstitutional or cannot lawfully take effect, or that the order cannot be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the order may lawfully be enforced to deny citizenship to children born in the United States will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case clearly and finally permits the order to deny citizenship to children born in the United States, this market will resolve to “No”. If the Executive Order is withdrawn prior to any qualifying Supreme Court ruling on the order, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Ill-Fated-Admire10.5K
- Periodic-Many2.6K
- Closed-Barracks2.4K
- Pushy-Expectancy2.2K
- Kind-Nanoparticle2.0K
- Enormous-Particular6.7K
- Verifiable-Obstacle2.5K
- Plain-Reward2.4K
- Past-Deposition2.2K
- Delightful-Son1.7K