The market moved
-3.5ppin 24h · now 20¢
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Politics · resolves Jun 30 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.