UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on yougov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the uk government’s record was 16% as of ma — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of Ma — https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.