UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

1. 1

   Down 2pp over 24h

   Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 18.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

4. 4

   Past expiry — awaiting resolution

   Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

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According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.