The market moved
+2.1ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $14.6K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.1pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://registraduria.gov.co).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.