PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Probability

18¢

+1.5pp

24h

+7.0pp

24h Vol

$20.6K

Liquidity

$33.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+15.1pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 02:00Apr 25, 2026, 01:48

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 878.2h
LOW
01:48Signal
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 7.0pp in 24h with 0.6× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
MEDIUM
01:48Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 878h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
01:48Price
Probability up 8.9pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
23:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 3.1pp
to 15¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 3.9pp
to 12¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 3.4pp
to 12¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 3.3pp
to 12¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 12¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 3.8pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.0pp
to 15¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.2pp
to 11¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.8pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.8pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.1pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 5.1pp
to 10¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.2pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.0pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.2pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.5pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.2pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 4.4pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.1pp
to 7¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.8pp
to 8¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability up 5.7pp
to 9¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same event Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Category · Politics

Market Description

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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