The market moved

-3.5ppin 24h · now 60¢

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Business · resolves Dec 31 · vol $618.58

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 60¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on coingecko — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: CoinGecko — https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.