The market moved

+2.0ppin 24h · now 32¢

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

AI · resolves Sep 30 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.