Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on chatbot arena llm leaderboard — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard — https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.