The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 23¢
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Weather · resolves Dec 31 · vol $13.07
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 23¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nhc.noaa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nhc.noaa.gov — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.