The market moved

-8.5ppin 24h · now 14¢

Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1?

Sports · resolves Jun 8 · vol $200.77

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.5pp shift. Resolution depends on twitch.tv — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: twitch.tv — https://www.twitch.tv/eslcs).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.