The market moved

-10.5ppin 24h · now 26¢

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Entertainment · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from taylor swift — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from Taylor Swift.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-10.5pp · Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Orrery