The market moved

-1.7ppin 24h · now

Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $10.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.7pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for california's 1 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 1 — https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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-1.7pp · Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | Orrery