The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 39¢
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $37.70
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 39¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on intel.arkm.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: intel.arkm.com — https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.