The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 18¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $750.05
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 18¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.