Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

1. 1

   Down 1pp over 24h

   Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $24.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.