The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Crypto · resolves Jan 1 · vol $287.20
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on binance spot pair — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Binance spot pair — https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.