CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

17¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$68.65

Liquidity

$17.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 17¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $17.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6007.9h

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.

Biggest hourly move: +4.0pp at 2d ago (to 21¢).

Show all 12 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 21:00 · -4.0pp → 17¢
  • 20:00 · -4.0pp → 17¢
  • 19:00 · -4.0pp → 17¢
  • 17:00 · -3.0pp → 18¢
  • 15:00 · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 14:00 · -3.5pp → 17¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 20¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · +4.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
  • 3d ago · +3.0pp → 21¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Link
binance.com
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket