The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 65¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Politics · resolves Mar 3 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.