The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 93¢

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Politics · resolves May 16 · vol $328.09

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 93¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+0.0pp · Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | Orrery