Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Probability
84¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$83.53
Liquidity
$23.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 495.0h
- 09:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 495h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 83¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).