The market moved
+2.6ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $2.5K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.6pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 12.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.